Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.056644 1.201468 1.359247 1.543967 1.754394 1.986755 2.262966
2025-12-14 0.801055 0.989961 1.213681 1.498456 1.851796 2.276463 2.826652
2025-12-21 0.667407 0.873779 1.132748 1.482160 1.942333 2.529177 3.336876
2025-12-28 0.598137 0.820974 1.114188 1.529203 2.103283 2.872090 3.984536
2026-01-04 0.522468 0.746795 1.054248 1.507729 2.162156 3.076395 4.457881
2026-01-11 0.479841 0.711327 1.040435 1.544226 2.299587 3.395921 5.118906
2026-01-18 0.436015 0.668081 1.009172 1.549243 2.387673 3.647694 5.700236
2026-01-25 0.392684 0.620245 0.965098 1.528377 2.431351 3.832705 6.192465
2026-02-01 0.352398 0.572543 0.915778 1.492885 2.446114 3.970510 6.618294
2026-02-08 0.317919 0.530398 0.870649 1.458545 2.457344 4.100448 7.039242
2026-02-15 0.297136 0.508479 0.855691 1.471522 2.546507 4.363746 7.707027
2026-02-22 0.274903 0.481867 0.830223 1.463588 2.597935 4.565701 8.284324
2026-03-01 0.247701 0.446450 0.790515 1.434361 2.622436 4.746338 8.887541
2026-03-08 0.220928 0.409488 0.745264 1.392074 2.622071 4.888628 9.449814
2026-03-15 0.201524 0.383665 0.716912 1.376959 2.668944 5.120217 10.205588
2026-03-22 0.192076 0.375374 0.719726 1.420594 2.831892 5.587264 11.477006
2026-03-29 0.175830 0.352148 0.691700 1.400676 2.866781 5.807195 12.271906
2026-04-05 0.167388 0.343415 0.690773 1.434529 3.013421 6.265235 13.616288
2026-04-12 0.156623 0.328791 0.676524 1.439182 3.099283 6.606278 14.748293
2026-04-19 0.144550 0.310178 0.652216 1.419828 3.131306 6.835934 15.659668
2026-04-26 0.132433 0.290226 0.623117 1.386907 3.129680 6.991598 16.419877
2026-05-03 0.121593 0.271967 0.595838 1.355054 3.126714 7.143206 17.187320
2026-05-10 0.115300 0.263189 0.588351 1.367092 3.225520 7.535881 18.577256